Traders
Period
1
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 of 50 sharps holding
$640.6k exposure
73¢
avg price
2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
3 of 50 sharps holding
$217.1k exposure
46¢
avg price
3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3 of 50 sharps holding
$37.0k exposure
91¢
avg price
4
Iran leadership change by December 31?
3 of 50 sharps holding
$20.9k exposure
33¢
avg price
5
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
3 of 50 sharps holding
$2.0k exposure
65¢
avg price
6
Spread: France (-1.5)
3 of 50 sharps holding
$0 exposure
0¢
avg price
7
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 of 50 sharps holding
$1.60M exposure
50¢
avg price
8
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2 of 50 sharps holding
$231.5k exposure
97¢
avg price
9
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 of 50 sharps holding
$86.2k exposure
85¢
avg price
10
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 of 50 sharps holding
$75.0k exposure
26¢
avg price
11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 of 50 sharps holding
$57.1k exposure
94¢
avg price
12
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
2 of 50 sharps holding
$43.3k exposure
97¢
avg price
13
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
2 of 50 sharps holding
$32.9k exposure
97¢
avg price
14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 of 50 sharps holding
$30.8k exposure
8¢
avg price
15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 of 50 sharps holding
$14.7k exposure
50¢
avg price
How this works

We fetch the current open positions of the top 50 sharpest traders (all time), then aggregate by market. Markets held by more of them appear higher. This is not investment advice — it shows where sharp capital is concentrated, not necessarily where it should be.