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eightpenguins
eightpenguins
0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
⚠ Likely Bot
✕ 56% of trades within 10s
Sharp Score
38
out of 100
20 open · 7 resolved
Entry Timing
12/25
Contrarian Accuracy
5/25
Repeatability
7/25
Stake Sizing
14/25
Total profit
$346.7k
ROI
+5.3%
Volume
$6.51M
Markets
608
Position accuracy
40%
PnL chart
Loading…
Open positions (20)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · avg 71¢ → 76¢ now
+$1.2k
$20.4k value
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes · avg 56¢ → 51¢ now
$-789
$7.6k value
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
No · avg 74¢ → 87¢ now
+$891
$6.1k value
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No · avg 62¢ → 83¢ now
+$1.1k
$4.6k value
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Yes · avg 50¢ → 28¢ now
$-2.6k
$3.1k value
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes · avg 29¢ → 28¢ now
$-44
$2.5k value
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · avg 44¢ → 44¢ now
$-28
$2.4k value
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No · avg 98¢ → 100¢ now
+$53
$2.3k value
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No · avg 23¢ → 22¢ now
$-75
$1.5k value
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No · avg 57¢ → 79¢ now
+$356
$1.3k value
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes · avg 38¢ → 25¢ now
$-674
$1.3k value
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes · avg 34¢ → 25¢ now
$-293
$764 value
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No · avg 61¢ → 69¢ now
+$78
$640 value
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · avg 13¢ → 39¢ now
+$407
$607 value
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · avg 39¢ → 43¢ now
+$50
$552 value
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes · avg 56¢ → 54¢ now
$-15
$400 value
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Yes · avg 17¢ → 2¢ now
$-1.1k
$107 value
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
Yes · avg 4¢ → 4¢ now
$-5
$64 value
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Yes · avg 11¢ → 0¢ now
$-2.8k
$13 value
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes · avg 28¢ → 1¢ now
$-298
$13 value
Recent trades (100)
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes
$122
@ 4¢
1d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes
$12
@ 4¢
1d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$1.2k
@ 24¢
1d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes
$347
@ 10¢
1d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes
$325
@ 10¢
1d ago
BUY
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$9
@ 59¢
2d ago
BUY
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$354
@ 59¢
2d ago
BUY
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$493
@ 59¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$15
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$10
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$2
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$10
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$2
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$52
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$52
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$5
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$5
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$14
@ 47¢
2d ago
SELL
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes
$2
@ 29¢
3d ago
SELL
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes
$0
@ 29¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$43
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$13
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$1
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$158
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$3
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$6
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$46
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$1
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$3
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$1
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$1
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$1
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$0
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$243
@ 3¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No
$13
@ 5¢
3d ago
BUY
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$1.9k
@ 56¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No
$25
@ 21¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No
$84
@ 21¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No
$147
@ 21¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No
$210
@ 21¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No
$0
@ 21¢
3d ago
SELL
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes
$3
@ 29¢
3d ago
BUY
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$1.2k
@ 58¢
3d ago
BUY
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$1.1k
@ 58¢
3d ago
SELL
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes
$1
@ 29¢
3d ago
BUY
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$33
@ 58¢
3d ago
SELL
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes
$2
@ 29¢
3d ago
SELL
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes
$1
@ 29¢
3d ago
SELL
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes
$106
@ 29¢
3d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$2
@ 56¢
3d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$3
@ 56¢
3d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$2
@ 56¢
3d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$11
@ 56¢
3d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$3
@ 56¢
3d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$2
@ 56¢
3d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$3
@ 56¢
3d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$2
@ 56¢
3d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.0k
@ 80¢
4d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$6
@ 56¢
4d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$1
@ 56¢
4d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$1
@ 56¢
4d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$1
@ 56¢
4d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$2
@ 56¢
4d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$3
@ 56¢
4d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$2
@ 56¢
4d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Yes
$233
@ 15¢
4d ago
BUY
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes
$3
@ 56¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$10
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$10
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$531
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$80
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$129
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1000
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$4
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No
$1.7k
@ 80¢
4d ago
SELL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1000
@ 80¢
4d ago