PA
PashaAsOracul
0x4fbfee91cb92887382dfc18387b87eba7954f319
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
✓ Verified HumanTotal profit
$4.5k
ROI
+2.8%
Volume
$163.3k
Markets
61
Position accuracy
60%
PnL chart
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Open positions (20)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
+$13
$2.0k value
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
$-24
$1.2k value
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
$-30
$1.2k value
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
$-569
$465 value
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026?
+$16
$316 value
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026?
+$11
$261 value
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
$-40
$220 value
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
+$86
$213 value
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026?
+$14
$138 value
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
+$11
$111 value
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
+$9
$109 value
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by September 30?
+$5
$106 value
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
$-0
$100 value
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
$-2
$98 value
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$-5
$95 value
Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
+$73
$93 value
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 29, 2026?
+$5
$75 value
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
$-71
$45 value
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?
+$3
$44 value
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026?
+$1
$25 value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026?
Yes
$100
@ 95¢
1h ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$502
@ 75¢
1h ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
$1000
@ 85¢
2h ago
SELL
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
11h ago
SELL
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
11h ago
SELL
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
11h ago
SELL
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
11h ago
SELL
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
11h ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$200
@ 74¢
1d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
$200
@ 87¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026?
Yes
$100
@ 93¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$7
@ 26¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$100
@ 92¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 20¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 25¢
2d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$500
@ 74¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 90¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026?
Yes
$15
@ 28¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?
Yes
$7
@ 25¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 23¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 20¢
2d ago
SELL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No
$500
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 26, 2026?
Yes
$50
@ 93¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 17¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 17¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 17¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 17¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Yes
$20
@ 66¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes
$101
@ 72¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 17¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 21¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 22¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 17¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 22¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 24¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 29, 2026?
Yes
$50
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026?
Yes
$50
@ 91¢
3d ago
SELL
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No
$200
@ 82¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 25, 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 8¢
3d ago
BUY
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes
$67
@ 12¢
3d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
No
$202
@ 91¢
3d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No
$20
@ 78¢
3d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$10
@ 65¢
3d ago
BUY
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No
$500
@ 78¢
3d ago
BUY
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Yes
$100
@ 88¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
$101
@ 66¢
3d ago
BUY
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Yes
$100
@ 94¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Yes
$205
@ 34¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026?
Yes
$101
@ 87¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026?
Yes
$101
@ 86¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026?
Yes
$101
@ 84¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 20¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 35¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 28¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 31¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 24¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 25, 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 20¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026?
Yes
$54
@ 90¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No
$80
@ 84¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 25, 2026?
Yes
$50
@ 90¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 29, 2026?
Yes
$20
@ 88¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026?
Yes
$20
@ 88¢
4d ago
BUY
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No
$200
@ 82¢
5d ago
BUY
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by September 30?
No
$101
@ 91¢
5d ago
BUY
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?
No
$1
@ 91¢
5d ago
BUY
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
Yes
$5
@ 5¢
5d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026?
Yes
$50
@ 86¢
5d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 27, 2026?
Yes
$100
@ 85¢
5d ago
BUY
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 24, 2026?
Yes
$50
@ 92¢
5d ago
BUY
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No
$20
@ 84¢
5d ago
BUY
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
No
$2.0k
@ 79¢
5d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$2.3k
@ 55¢
5d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$1.2k
@ 62¢
6d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$1.2k
@ 62¢
7d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$620
@ 62¢
7d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
No
$9.5k
@ 90¢
7d ago
SELL
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
7d ago
SELL
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$1
@ 0¢
7d ago
SELL
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
7d ago
SELL
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Yes
$1
@ 1¢
7d ago
SELL
Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
7d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$3.5k
@ 64¢
7d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No
$1.5k
@ 40¢
8d ago
BUY
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$16
@ 9¢
8d ago
BUY
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$16
@ 3¢
8d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
No
$25
@ 99¢
8d ago
BUY
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes
$992
@ 25¢
9d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No
$999
@ 67¢
9d ago
BUY
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes
$7
@ 18¢
14d ago
SELL
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes
$7
@ 0¢
14d ago
BUY
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes
$16
@ 9¢
14d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
No
$16
@ 93¢
14d ago
BUY
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes
$23
@ 1¢
14d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
No
$23
@ 92¢
14d ago
BUY
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes
$23
@ 1¢
14d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
No
$23
@ 92¢
14d ago
BUY
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes
$55
@ 44¢
14d ago
SELL
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$54
@ 54¢
14d ago
BUY
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes
$54
@ 78¢
14d ago
SELL
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$55
@ 55¢
14d ago