balthazar
0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
⚠ Likely Bot✕ 79% of trades within 10s
⚑ Avg trade $18 (min $25)
Total profit
$1.05M
ROI
+1.4%
Volume
$72.80M
Markets
76,574
Position accuracy
75%
PnL chart
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Open positions (20)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+$79.8k
$204.8k value
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
+$57.0k
$133.0k value
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$-79.8k
$45.3k value
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$-57.0k
$19.0k value
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
+$1.8k
$14.4k value
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
+$793
$9.9k value
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
+$2.1k
$7.7k value
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?
+$252
$7.1k value
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
+$2.6k
$5.3k value
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
$-375
$5.2k value
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$3
$4.3k value
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
$-366
$3.6k value
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
+$100
$3.1k value
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
+$155
$3.0k value
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
+$69
$2.6k value
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
+$793
$2.6k value
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
+$758
$2.3k value
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
+$80
$2.3k value
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
+$815
$2.1k value
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
$-2
$1.9k value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 99¢
2m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 1¢
2m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29?
No
$15
@ 49¢
3m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 29?
No
$30
@ 100¢
3m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 29?
No
$30
@ 99¢
3m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 29?
No
$29
@ 98¢
3m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 29?
No
$24
@ 80¢
3m ago
SELL
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
Yes
$1
@ 1¢
5m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 28?
No
$13
@ 99¢
7m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 1¢
7m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?
No
$13
@ 65¢
18m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?
No
$10
@ 50¢
18m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?
No
$3
@ 65¢
18m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30?
No
$3
@ 50¢
18m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?
No
$2
@ 65¢
18m ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?
Yes
$1
@ 0¢
19m ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?
No
$97
@ 99¢
19m ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 28?
Yes
$2
@ 1¢
19m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026?
No
$20
@ 99¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 31, 2026?
No
$20
@ 100¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?
No
$20
@ 100¢
21m ago
BUY
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
No
$13
@ 65¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026?
No
$20
@ 100¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026?
No
$20
@ 100¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026?
No
$20
@ 100¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 24, 2026?
No
$20
@ 99¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?
No
$8
@ 42¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
No
$99
@ 33¢
21m ago
BUY
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
No
$101
@ 64¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 28?
No
$13
@ 100¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 28?
No
$13
@ 95¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 28?
No
$13
@ 99¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28?
No
$8
@ 62¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?
No
$10
@ 73¢
21m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 28?
No
$9
@ 88¢
22m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 28?
No
$10
@ 99¢
22m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 28?
No
$10
@ 99¢
22m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 28?
No
$7
@ 62¢
22m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?
No
$10
@ 93¢
22m ago
BUY
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
No
$68
@ 64¢
26m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
No
$66
@ 33¢
26m ago
SELL
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 36¢
27m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
No
$7
@ 33¢
27m ago
SELL
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$51
@ 36¢
27m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
No
$95
@ 34¢
27m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 28?
No
$6
@ 97¢
33m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 28?
No
$6
@ 100¢
33m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 3¢
33m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
No
$7
@ 34¢
34m ago
SELL
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 36¢
34m ago
SELL
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
34m ago
SELL
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
$14
@ 35¢
34m ago
SELL
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
$7
@ 17¢
34m ago
SELL
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
$9
@ 22¢
34m ago
SELL
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
34m ago
BUY
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?
No
$32
@ 76¢
34m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 28?
No
$5
@ 51¢
36m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 28?
No
$5
@ 53¢
36m ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 28?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
36m ago
BUY
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-03 House seat?
No
$1
@ 4¢
42m ago
BUY
Will the Republican Party win the CT-03 House seat?
No
$13
@ 95¢
42m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 29?
No
$19
@ 61¢
43m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 29?
No
$2
@ 85¢
43m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 29?
No
$26
@ 88¢
43m ago
BUY
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
No
$10
@ 64¢
45m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
No
$7
@ 34¢
45m ago
SELL
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$28
@ 36¢
45m ago
BUY
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
No
$128
@ 63¢
45m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
No
$99
@ 33¢
45m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
No
$17
@ 34¢
45m ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
No
$17
@ 34¢
45m ago
BUY
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
No
$19
@ 63¢
45m ago
BUY
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?
No
$75
@ 84¢
47m ago
BUY
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
No
$19
@ 20¢
47m ago
BUY
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?
No
$90
@ 100¢
47m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$3
@ 98¢
47m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
47m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
48m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 28?
No
$10
@ 97¢
48m ago
BUY
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
No
$0
@ 1¢
48m ago
BUY
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
No
$9
@ 100¢
48m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 98¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 98¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 98¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 98¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 98¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
49m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 98¢
50m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
50m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
50m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 98¢
50m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
50m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 98¢
50m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
50m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?
No
$5
@ 98¢
50m ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?
No
$0
@ 2¢
50m ago