← Sharp List
NO
nonkenny90
0x5cd5c8d7a17c78d7389d8b87b611aed83322ac33
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
? Unverified
Win rate 100% on 20 positions
Sharp Score
55
out of 100
20 open · 12 resolved
Entry Timing
6/25
Contrarian Accuracy
12/25
Repeatability
24/25
Stake Sizing
13/25
Total profit
$64.8k
ROI
+0.2%
Volume
$30.73M
Markets
7,942
Position accuracy
100%
PnL chart
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Open positions (20)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · avg 74¢ → 76¢ now
+$1.5k
$70.2k value
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No · avg 94¢ → 96¢ now
+$1.1k
$51.3k value
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No · avg 86¢ → 90¢ now
+$662
$16.9k value
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No · avg 69¢ → 78¢ now
+$1.5k
$13.5k value
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No · avg 92¢ → 98¢ now
+$690
$11.1k value
Iran leadership change by September 30?
No · avg 88¢ → 89¢ now
+$135
$9.8k value
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
No · avg 68¢ → 84¢ now
+$1.4k
$7.5k value
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No · avg 76¢ → 78¢ now
+$131
$7.1k value
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
No · avg 88¢ → 94¢ now
+$403
$6.5k value
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Nothing · avg 93¢ → 100¢ now
+$418
$5.9k value
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No · avg 92¢ → 100¢ now
+$270
$3.5k value
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
No · avg 75¢ → 80¢ now
+$205
$3.3k value
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · avg 65¢ → 69¢ now
+$130
$2.5k value
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No · avg 60¢ → 92¢ now
+$548
$1.6k value
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?
No · avg 87¢ → 90¢ now
+$49
$1.6k value
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
No · avg 99¢ → 100¢ now
+$5
$1.6k value
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Yes · avg 69¢ → 72¢ now
+$55
$1.6k value
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No · avg 100¢ → 100¢ now
+$6
$1.5k value
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
Yes · avg 95¢ → 98¢ now
+$41
$1.4k value
Iran leadership change by August 31?
No · avg 90¢ → 95¢ now
+$59
$1.3k value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No
$380
@ 76¢
9h ago
BUY
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No
$144
@ 100¢
9h ago
BUY
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No
$399
@ 100¢
9h ago
BUY
Exact Score: New York City FC 0 - 3 Toronto FC?
No
$188
@ 99¢
9h ago
BUY
Exact Score: New York City FC 0 - 3 Toronto FC?
No
$560
@ 99¢
9h ago
BUY
Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1 - 3 Wuhan San Zhen FC?
No
$54
@ 99¢
9h ago
BUY
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No
$289
@ 100¢
9h ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
Yes
$211
@ 100¢
12h ago
BUY
Iran leadership change by September 30?
No
$505
@ 91¢
12h ago
BUY
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
No
$93
@ 77¢
13h ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes
$341
@ 99¢
13h ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes
$222
@ 100¢
13h ago
BUY
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
No
$451
@ 99¢
13h ago
BUY
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
No
$402
@ 99¢
13h ago
BUY
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
No
$50
@ 99¢
13h ago
BUY
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
No
$651
@ 99¢
13h ago
SELL
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes
$2
@ 1¢
13h ago
SELL
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes
$7
@ 1¢
13h ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?
No
$65
@ 99¢
15h ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?
No
$166
@ 99¢
15h ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?
Yes
$65
@ 99¢
16h ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?
Yes
$166
@ 99¢
16h ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?
Yes
$32
@ 99¢
16h ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?
Yes
$198
@ 99¢
16h ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$539
@ 95¢
17h ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?
Yes
$220
@ 99¢
18h ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes
$108
@ 89¢
21h ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes
$74
@ 90¢
21h ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes
$35
@ 90¢
21h ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$209
@ 95¢
21h ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$327
@ 95¢
21h ago
SELL
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Yes
$310
@ 100¢
23h ago
BUY
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No
$13
@ 88¢
1d ago
BUY
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
No
$18
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No
$7
@ 88¢
1d ago
BUY
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes
$13
@ 70¢
1d ago
BUY
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No
$546
@ 88¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?
Yes
$152
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?
Yes
$99
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No
$885
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?
Yes
$198
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?
Yes
$387
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No
$563
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No
$304
@ 76¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Yes
$287
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Yes
$141
@ 98¢
1d ago
BUY
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
No
$17
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No
$21
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No
$340
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes
$269
@ 69¢
1d ago
BUY
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes
$225
@ 70¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?
No
$256
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No
$30
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No
$100
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No
$100
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No
$100
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No
$30
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No
$30
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$253
@ 95¢
1d ago
BUY
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No
$10
@ 97¢
1d ago
BUY
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No
$290
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$1.7k
@ 95¢
1d ago
BUY
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No
$6
@ 97¢
1d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
No
$199
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
No
$482
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No
$138
@ 97¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
Yes
$328
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
No
$211
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes
$90
@ 82¢
1d ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$4.7k
@ 95¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No
$2.9k
@ 75¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?
No
$209
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?
No
$1
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$1.7k
@ 95¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No
$5
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
No
$51
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
Yes
$28
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
No
$228
@ 98¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No
$120
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No
$1
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No
$55
@ 97¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No
$110
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No
$47
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No
$10
@ 97¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
No
$328
@ 98¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?
No
$86
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
Yes
$199
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Exact Score: Sydney Olympic FC 3 - 3 Brisbane Roar FC?
No
$134
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Exact Score: Sydney Olympic FC 3 - 3 Brisbane Roar FC?
No
$134
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Exact Score: Sydney Olympic FC 3 - 3 Brisbane Roar FC?
No
$134
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Exact Score: Sydney Olympic FC 3 - 3 Brisbane Roar FC?
No
$99
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$71
@ 95¢
1d ago
BUY
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No
$5
@ 97¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
No
$7
@ 98¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
Yes
$1
@ 99¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
No
$3
@ 1¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
Yes
$0
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
No
$578
@ 98¢
1d ago
BUY
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No
$317
@ 97¢
2d ago
BUY
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No
$248
@ 96¢
2d ago