GR
groth
0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
? Unverified⚑ Win rate 95% on 20 positions
Total profit
$141.6k
ROI
+7.2%
Volume
$1.97M
Markets
407
Position accuracy
95%
PnL chart
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Open positions (20)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
+$565
$15.8k value
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
+$1.6k
$14.8k value
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
+$368
$11.9k value
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
+$1.5k
$11.5k value
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
+$1.1k
$8.0k value
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
+$1.1k
$7.0k value
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
+$1.1k
$6.6k value
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
+$325
$5.2k value
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
+$675
$3.3k value
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
+$993
$3.0k value
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
+$390
$3.0k value
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
+$942
$2.9k value
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
+$193
$2.2k value
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
+$1.6k
$2.1k value
Fed rate hike in 2026?
+$170
$1.8k value
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
+$271
$1.5k value
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?
+$78
$1.5k value
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
+$135
$1.2k value
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
+$172
$975 value
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
$-117
$973 value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$750
@ 75¢
6h ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$375
@ 75¢
6h ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 8¢
6h ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 8¢
6h ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 8¢
7h ago
BUY
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Yes
$21
@ 29¢
10h ago
BUY
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 27 2026?
No
$78
@ 83¢
20h ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$472
@ 94¢
1d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes
$11
@ 18¢
1d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes
$110
@ 22¢
1d ago
BUY
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
$198
@ 66¢
1d ago
BUY
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
$132
@ 66¢
1d ago
SELL
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1d ago
SELL
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1d ago
SELL
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 24¢
1d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 24¢
1d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes
$158
@ 48¢
1d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes
$82
@ 48¢
1d ago
SELL
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No
$259
@ 93¢
1d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$29
@ 57¢
1d ago
SELL
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$2
@ 54¢
1d ago
SELL
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$9
@ 54¢
1d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$620
@ 87¢
1d ago
BUY
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$94
@ 19¢
1d ago
BUY
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$1
@ 19¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?
No
$0
@ 1¢
1d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$7
@ 65¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$130
@ 65¢
2d ago
SELL
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No
$930
@ 93¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes
$165
@ 55¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$2
@ 65¢
2d ago
SELL
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$560
@ 56¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes
$5
@ 53¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 46¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes
$285
@ 46¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes
$2
@ 72¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes
$0
@ 72¢
2d ago
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes
$564
@ 94¢
2d ago
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$943
@ 75¢
2d ago
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$518
@ 76¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$130
@ 63¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes
$322
@ 71¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$80
@ 63¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$80
@ 63¢
2d ago
SELL
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
$600
@ 60¢
2d ago
SELL
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 12¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$2
@ 63¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes
$4
@ 72¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$191
@ 63¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes
$101
@ 48¢
2d ago
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$8
@ 77¢
2d ago
SELL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$10
@ 77¢
2d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$590
@ 59¢
2d ago
SELL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$565
@ 80¢
2d ago
BUY
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes
$14
@ 3¢
2d ago
SELL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No
$640
@ 68¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$44
@ 73¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$51
@ 73¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$22
@ 73¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$5
@ 73¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$5
@ 73¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$5
@ 73¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$4
@ 73¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$15
@ 73¢
2d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$73
@ 73¢
2d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes
$118
@ 36¢
2d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$517
@ 86¢
2d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$430
@ 86¢
2d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$486
@ 69¢
2d ago
SELL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No
$72
@ 68¢
2d ago
SELL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No
$308
@ 68¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
No
$635
@ 98¢
2d ago
BUY
Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?
No
$10
@ 98¢
2d ago
BUY
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Yes
$66
@ 29¢
2d ago
BUY
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
No
$9
@ 3¢
2d ago
BUY
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
2d ago
SELL
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No
$97
@ 97¢
3d ago
BUY
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes
$1.5k
@ 30¢
3d ago
BUY
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes
$700
@ 35¢
3d ago
BUY
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes
$400
@ 40¢
3d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes
$342
@ 35¢
3d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 35¢
3d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes
$116
@ 59¢
3d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes
$590
@ 59¢
3d ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$923
@ 94¢
3d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$81
@ 69¢
3d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No
$441
@ 44¢
3d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$108
@ 69¢
3d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes
$2
@ 90¢
3d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes
$169
@ 69¢
3d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes
$282
@ 57¢
3d ago
BUY
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes
$194
@ 65¢
3d ago
SELL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes
$133
@ 61¢
3d ago
SELL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes
$54
@ 54¢
3d ago
BUY
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No
$20
@ 94¢
3d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes
$370
@ 98¢
3d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes
$7
@ 35¢
3d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes
$183
@ 31¢
3d ago