DA
da4c07
0x81ca49ad9806de2d92782b873bfa7fe051943b87
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
✓ Verified HumanTotal profit
$24.2k
ROI
+9.6%
Volume
$252.3k
Markets
52
Position accuracy
50%
PnL chart
Loading…
Open positions (6)
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
+$7.6k
$9.6k value
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
+$1.3k
$1.7k value
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
+$0
$1 value
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
$-2
$0 value
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
$-269
$0 value
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
$-283
$0 value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
Yes
$369
@ 74¢
4d ago
BUY
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
No
$712
@ 74¢
4d ago
SELL
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
No
$1.5k
@ 98¢
5d ago
SELL
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
No
$338
@ 98¢
5d ago
SELL
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
No
$101
@ 98¢
5d ago
SELL
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
No
$775
@ 98¢
5d ago
BUY
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
Yes
$2.0k
@ 20¢
5d ago
BUY
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
No
$1.1k
@ 24¢
5d ago
SELL
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
$17
@ 5¢
40d ago
SELL
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
No
$93
@ 4¢
40d ago
BUY
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
$84
@ 8¢
41d ago
BUY
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 10¢
42d ago
BUY
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 10¢
42d ago
BUY
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
$15
@ 10¢
42d ago
BUY
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
$27
@ 8¢
43d ago
BUY
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 4¢
43d ago
BUY
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
$7
@ 4¢
43d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
No
$24
@ 20¢
44d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
No
$1
@ 11¢
45d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
No
$1
@ 20¢
45d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
No
$40
@ 17¢
45d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
No
$49
@ 16¢
45d ago
BUY
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes
$179
@ 12¢
45d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
No
$151
@ 8¢
45d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
No
$68
@ 6¢
51d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
No
$91
@ 9¢
51d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
No
$0
@ 10¢
51d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
No
$91
@ 8¢
51d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
No
$32
@ 10¢
51d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
No
$1
@ 10¢
51d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
No
$0
@ 10¢
51d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
No
$1
@ 10¢
51d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
No
$134
@ 8¢
51d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
No
$33
@ 5¢
51d ago
SELL
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes
$3
@ 6¢
92d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 6¢
93d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 99¢
93d ago
SELL
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$67
@ 9¢
102d ago
SELL
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 0¢
105d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$3
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$11
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$6
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$12
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$1
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$56
@ 14¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$8
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$1
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$2
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$4
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$2
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$3
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes
$10
@ 20¢
109d ago
BUY
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 0¢
113d ago
BUY
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No
$1
@ 84¢
122d ago
BUY
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 98¢
122d ago
BUY
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Yes
$436
@ 25¢
137d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
No
$88
@ 32¢
137d ago
SELL
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Yes
$104
@ 21¢
147d ago
BUY
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Yes
$144
@ 29¢
148d ago
SELL
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Yes
$103
@ 37¢
172d ago
SELL
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Yes
$129
@ 37¢
172d ago
SELL
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
No
$6.6k
@ 78¢
173d ago
BUY
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Yes
$100
@ 29¢
175d ago
BUY
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
No
$236
@ 22¢
175d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Yes
$187
@ 11¢
175d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Yes
$1000
@ 11¢
175d ago
SELL
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Yes
$32
@ 34¢
175d ago
BUY
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
No
$1000
@ 12¢
175d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Yes
$74
@ 26¢
175d ago
BUY
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Yes
$47
@ 40¢
177d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?
Yes
$50
@ 33¢
203d ago
SELL
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$115
@ 32¢
220d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$100
@ 57¢
225d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$100
@ 55¢
225d ago
SELL
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$35
@ 5¢
226d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$10
@ 19¢
238d ago
SELL
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$29
@ 47¢
238d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$20
@ 27¢
238d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$10
@ 24¢
238d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$23
@ 15¢
239d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$20
@ 15¢
239d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$10
@ 15¢
239d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$10
@ 15¢
239d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$10
@ 15¢
239d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$10
@ 52¢
239d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$10
@ 48¢
239d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes
$10
@ 46¢
239d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 49¢
240d ago
SELL
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
No
$222
@ 87¢
253d ago
BUY
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Yes
$200
@ 75¢
254d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
No
$200
@ 79¢
254d ago
BUY
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Yes
$300
@ 75¢
254d ago
SELL
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Yes
$51
@ 14¢
255d ago
BUY
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?
Yes
$10
@ 1¢
256d ago
SELL
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
No
$51
@ 32¢
256d ago
BUY
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
No
$50
@ 31¢
256d ago
SELL
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Yes
$5
@ 4¢
256d ago
BUY
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Yes
$50
@ 14¢
256d ago
SELL
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Yes
$9
@ 11¢
259d ago
SELL
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Yes
$11
@ 11¢
259d ago