10
101456
0x8de0771af4eb2785fe64eab139399abd30bd7f22
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
✓ Verified HumanTotal profit
$10.8k
ROI
+3.8%
Volume
$281.8k
Markets
255
Position accuracy
85%
PnL chart
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Open positions (20)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
+$1.1k
$3.6k value
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
$-42
$3.0k value
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
+$933
$2.9k value
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?
+$1.2k
$2.5k value
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
+$577
$2.2k value
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
+$248
$2.2k value
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
+$931
$2.0k value
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
+$0
$1.9k value
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
+$518
$1.8k value
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
$-942
$1.7k value
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
+$157
$1.6k value
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
+$1.3k
$1.6k value
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
+$184
$1.5k value
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
+$848
$1.3k value
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
+$172
$994 value
Will Roseana Sarney win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?
+$981
$981 value
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
+$617
$950 value
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
+$903
$935 value
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
+$208
$930 value
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
+$123
$893 value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
No
$16
@ 10¢
4h ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$210
@ 51¢
9h ago
BUY
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
No
$76
@ 34¢
13h ago
BUY
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
Yes
$35
@ 11¢
14h ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?
No
$34
@ 4¢
15h ago
BUY
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
No
$1.9k
@ 50¢
18h ago
BUY
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes
$29
@ 17¢
1d ago
BUY
No one announced as next James Bond?
No
$504
@ 63¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?
Yes
$26
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?
No
$214
@ 34¢
1d ago
BUY
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?
No
$14
@ 34¢
1d ago
BUY
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?
Yes
$143
@ 42¢
1d ago
BUY
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No
$168
@ 76¢
1d ago
BUY
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No
$10
@ 76¢
1d ago
BUY
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No
$94
@ 76¢
1d ago
BUY
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
Yes
$153
@ 36¢
1d ago
BUY
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
Yes
$77
@ 36¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$348
@ 26¢
1d ago
BUY
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?
Yes
$25
@ 7¢
1d ago
BUY
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
Yes
$80
@ 56¢
2d ago
BUY
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Yes
$822
@ 80¢
3d ago
BUY
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Yes
$2.0k
@ 96¢
4d ago
BUY
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?
No
$57
@ 7¢
4d ago
BUY
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
No
$633
@ 54¢
4d ago
BUY
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?
No
$63
@ 11¢
4d ago
BUY
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Yes
$437
@ 29¢
5d ago
BUY
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
No
$0
@ 3¢
5d ago
BUY
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?
No
$14
@ 10¢
5d ago
BUY
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$228
@ 68¢
6d ago
BUY
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No
$228
@ 48¢
7d ago
BUY
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No
$446
@ 46¢
7d ago
BUY
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes
$96
@ 41¢
7d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
Yes
$275
@ 79¢
7d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
Yes
$866
@ 73¢
7d ago
BUY
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
No
$682
@ 75¢
7d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
No
$92
@ 91¢
7d ago
BUY
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
No
$2.0k
@ 60¢
7d ago
BUY
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
No
$292
@ 93¢
7d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes
$31
@ 13¢
7d ago
BUY
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No
$686
@ 74¢
7d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
No
$118
@ 13¢
7d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes
$8
@ 14¢
7d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes
$19
@ 14¢
7d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes
$859
@ 44¢
7d ago
BUY
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No
$290
@ 58¢
7d ago
BUY
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
No
$1000
@ 93¢
8d ago
BUY
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)
No
$202
@ 56¢
8d ago
BUY
Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No
$22
@ 1¢
8d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes
$2.0k
@ 71¢
8d ago
BUY
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?
No
$1.3k
@ 50¢
8d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
No
$421
@ 79¢
8d ago
BUY
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Yes
$646
@ 67¢
8d ago
BUY
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
No
$89
@ 30¢
8d ago
BUY
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Yes
$560
@ 46¢
8d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes
$161
@ 44¢
8d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes
$4
@ 19¢
8d ago
BUY
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes
$644
@ 49¢
8d ago
BUY
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes
$89
@ 6¢
8d ago
BUY
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?
Yes
$150
@ 15¢
8d ago
BUY
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No
$523
@ 46¢
8d ago
BUY
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No
$31
@ 74¢
8d ago
BUY
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No
$58
@ 74¢
8d ago
BUY
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
No
$234
@ 71¢
8d ago
BUY
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Yes
$527
@ 32¢
8d ago
BUY
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Yes
$1.0k
@ 69¢
8d ago
BUY
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$38
@ 14¢
8d ago
BUY
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$11
@ 14¢
8d ago
BUY
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$11
@ 14¢
8d ago
BUY
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$11
@ 14¢
8d ago
BUY
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$4
@ 14¢
8d ago
BUY
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Yes
$2
@ 14¢
8d ago
BUY
Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?
Yes
$84
@ 56¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes
$168
@ 53¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes
$265
@ 46¢
9d ago
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Yes
$770
@ 85¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No
$2.0k
@ 58¢
9d ago
BUY
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
Yes
$547
@ 39¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 4¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 4¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 4¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes
$15
@ 4¢
9d ago
BUY
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
Yes
$16
@ 14¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
No
$2.0k
@ 83¢
10d ago
BUY
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?
Yes
$54
@ 40¢
10d ago
BUY
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Yes
$29
@ 10¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
Yes
$208
@ 26¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Yes
$25
@ 12¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$333
@ 24¢
12d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
$790
@ 7¢
12d ago
BUY
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No
$1.3k
@ 75¢
13d ago
BUY
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?
Yes
$53
@ 27¢
14d ago
BUY
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
No
$120
@ 36¢
14d ago
BUY
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes
$170
@ 55¢
14d ago
BUY
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
No
$175
@ 60¢
14d ago
BUY
Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes
$258
@ 26¢
14d ago
BUY
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
$2.0k
@ 79¢
14d ago
BUY
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 1¢
14d ago
BUY
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
No
$618
@ 22¢
15d ago
BUY
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
Yes
$6
@ 26¢
15d ago
BUY
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
No
$531
@ 79¢
15d ago