IN
InterestingUser
0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
✓ Verified HumanTotal profit
$149.9k
ROI
+0.7%
Volume
$21.39M
Markets
3,099
Position accuracy
80%
PnL chart
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Open positions (20)
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
+$5.5k
$30.8k value
No one announced as next James Bond?
+$5.9k
$15.7k value
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
+$835
$14.5k value
Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?
+$905
$10.2k value
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?
+$2.1k
$9.8k value
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?
+$1.3k
$8.6k value
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?
+$2.8k
$8.1k value
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?
+$3.7k
$7.7k value
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
+$1.5k
$7.3k value
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?
+$4.7k
$7.2k value
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
$-4.2k
$6.2k value
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
+$1.0k
$6.1k value
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$81
$6.0k value
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?
+$342
$5.5k value
Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?
+$185
$5.1k value
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
+$2.8k
$4.7k value
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
$-725
$4.6k value
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$408
$4.6k value
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
$-9
$4.6k value
Trump renames AI by September 30?
$-1.7k
$4.2k value
Recent trades (100)
SELL
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
No
$2
@ 100¢
2h ago
SELL
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
No
$4
@ 99¢
3h ago
SELL
Will Mario Delgado Carrillo win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
No
$146
@ 98¢
3h ago
SELL
Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No
$15
@ 98¢
3h ago
SELL
Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No
$14
@ 98¢
3h ago
SELL
Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No
$7
@ 98¢
3h ago
SELL
Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No
$6
@ 98¢
3h ago
SELL
Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No
$163
@ 99¢
3h ago
SELL
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?
Yes
$94
@ 81¢
4h ago
SELL
Will Barry Avotu Johnson win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?
No
$85
@ 99¢
4h ago
SELL
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
No
$565
@ 99¢
4h ago
SELL
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?
No
$366
@ 99¢
4h ago
SELL
Will Elin Hoffner be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?
No
$275
@ 99¢
4h ago
SELL
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be less than 900,000?
No
$73
@ 99¢
4h ago
SELL
Will Ntombi Nama be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
No
$109
@ 100¢
4h ago
SELL
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
No
$10
@ 97¢
6h ago
SELL
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
No
$35
@ 97¢
6h ago
SELL
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
No
$339
@ 97¢
6h ago
SELL
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?
No
$100
@ 95¢
7h ago
SELL
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?
No
$125
@ 90¢
7h ago
SELL
Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?
No
$37
@ 94¢
7h ago
SELL
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?
No
$19
@ 97¢
7h ago
SELL
Will Radim Bzura be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?
No
$36
@ 98¢
7h ago
SELL
Will Parveen Bola win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?
No
$59
@ 99¢
7h ago
SELL
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by September 30?
No
$65
@ 100¢
7h ago
SELL
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election by 50% or more?
No
$11
@ 99¢
7h ago
SELL
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
$946
@ 100¢
7h ago
SELL
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?
No
$117
@ 100¢
7h ago
SELL
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?
No
$7
@ 100¢
7h ago
SELL
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?
No
$60
@ 100¢
7h ago
SELL
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
Yes
$74
@ 100¢
7h ago
SELL
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
No
$376
@ 100¢
7h ago
SELL
Will Igor Hubáček win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?
No
$82
@ 100¢
7h ago
SELL
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election?
Yes
$69
@ 99¢
7h ago
SELL
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election?
Yes
$61
@ 100¢
7h ago
SELL
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No
$180
@ 90¢
7h ago
SELL
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No
$112
@ 90¢
7h ago
SELL
Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
No
$19
@ 97¢
8h ago
SELL
Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
No
$10
@ 95¢
8h ago
SELL
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No
$2
@ 90¢
8h ago
SELL
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No
$26
@ 90¢
8h ago
SELL
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No
$1.2k
@ 90¢
8h ago
SELL
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No
$10
@ 90¢
10h ago
SELL
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No
$0
@ 90¢
10h ago
BUY
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$80
@ 80¢
12h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$349
@ 60¢
14h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$15
@ 60¢
14h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$480
@ 60¢
14h ago
SELL
Will Jimmy Ekström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?
No
$49
@ 99¢
14h ago
BUY
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$80
@ 80¢
15h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$220
@ 45¢
16h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$12
@ 45¢
16h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$29
@ 45¢
16h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$18
@ 45¢
17h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$9
@ 45¢
17h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$1
@ 45¢
18h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$9
@ 45¢
18h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$2
@ 45¢
18h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$23
@ 45¢
18h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$50
@ 60¢
19h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$100
@ 60¢
19h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$3
@ 45¢
20h ago
BUY
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$8
@ 80¢
20h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$8
@ 45¢
21h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$4
@ 45¢
21h ago
BUY
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$8
@ 80¢
21h ago
BUY
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$115
@ 80¢
21h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$50
@ 45¢
21h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$45
@ 60¢
21h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$28
@ 60¢
22h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$300
@ 60¢
22h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$81
@ 60¢
22h ago
SELL
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No
$652
@ 60¢
22h ago
SELL
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
No
$980
@ 100¢
22h ago
BUY
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Yes
$17
@ 45¢
22h ago
SELL
Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
No
$29
@ 97¢
23h ago
SELL
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?
Yes
$199
@ 93¢
23h ago
SELL
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
No
$3
@ 88¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$93
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$8
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$39
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes
$2
@ 44¢
1d ago
SELL
Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
No
$108
@ 97¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$0
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$0
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$4
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$4
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$1
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$1
@ 81¢
1d ago
SELL
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?
No
$953
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$0
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$0
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$8
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$0
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$0
@ 81¢
1d ago
BUY
Trump renames AI by September 30?
No
$9
@ 81¢
1d ago
SELL
Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
No
$76
@ 95¢
1d ago
SELL
Will FDP be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
No
$30
@ 99¢
1d ago
SELL
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?
No
$48
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes
$94
@ 41¢
1d ago