M2
M2sx92kljs42
0xb4f2592e67c333e73c923547cfe05e768180e5fa
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
? Unverified⚑ Win rate 95% on 20 positions
Total profit
$43.3k
ROI
+2.6%
Volume
$1.68M
Markets
508
Position accuracy
95%
PnL chart
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Open positions (20)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
+$100
$18.3k value
Trump out as President before 2027?
+$225
$14.0k value
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
+$11.0k
$13.5k value
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
+$6.5k
$11.6k value
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
+$1.3k
$7.8k value
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?
+$540
$6.9k value
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
+$1.4k
$6.8k value
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
+$647
$5.7k value
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
+$688
$3.7k value
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
+$312
$3.3k value
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
+$510
$2.5k value
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
+$215
$2.1k value
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
+$93
$2.1k value
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
+$538
$2.0k value
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
+$154
$1.5k value
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
+$229
$1.4k value
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
$-22
$1.3k value
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
+$117
$1.1k value
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
+$52
$757 value
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
+$89
$604 value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Yes
$1.2k
@ 69¢
11h ago
SELL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$973
@ 88¢
13h ago
SELL
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes
$167
@ 17¢
18h ago
BUY
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
No
$283
@ 42¢
20h ago
BUY
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?
No
$1.5k
@ 93¢
1d ago
BUY
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?
No
$4.2k
@ 92¢
1d ago
SELL
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$1.9k
@ 93¢
1d ago
SELL
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$2.8k
@ 93¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$1.1k
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$188
@ 3¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$200
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$27
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$2
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$0
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$0
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$0
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$0
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$4
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$46
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$80
@ 4¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$8
@ 7¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$1
@ 7¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$5
@ 7¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$0
@ 7¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$4
@ 7¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$1
@ 7¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$91
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$59
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$2
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$3
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$3
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$1
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$1
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$201
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$34
@ 7¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$135
@ 9¢
1d ago
BUY
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
No
$1.6k
@ 42¢
1d ago
BUY
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?
No
$632
@ 85¢
1d ago
BUY
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
No
$3.0k
@ 77¢
1d ago
SELL
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$9.3k
@ 93¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No
$299
@ 14¢
1d ago
SELL
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
No
$21
@ 100¢
1d ago
SELL
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
No
$1.0k
@ 100¢
1d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$315
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$1.2k
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$705
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$1.4k
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$7
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No
$72
@ 90¢
2d ago
BUY
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No
$51
@ 90¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$11
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$20
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$7
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$4
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$4
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No
$210
@ 78¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No
$513
@ 82¢
3d ago
BUY
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
No
$933
@ 75¢
3d ago
BUY
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?
No
$186
@ 66¢
3d ago
BUY
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
No
$836
@ 75¢
3d ago
BUY
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
No
$1.0k
@ 74¢
3d ago
BUY
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
No
$3
@ 66¢
3d ago
BUY
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
No
$23
@ 66¢
3d ago
BUY
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
No
$13
@ 66¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$18
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$184
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$81
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$20
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$29
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$6
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$230
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$227
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$10
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$92
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$23
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$16
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$1
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$115
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$5
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$184
@ 92¢
3d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$1.4k
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$1.1k
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$235
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$345
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$58
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$2
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$8
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$58
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$16
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$12
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$644
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$4
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$2
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$736
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$736
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$1.3k
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$44
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$9
@ 92¢
4d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$2
@ 92¢
5d ago
BUY
Trump out as President before 2027?
No
$1.3k
@ 92¢
5d ago