LoveEATINGPOOP
0xc004b035b67be284e0d1db56c39e865df6cac095
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
✓ Verified HumanTotal profit
$8.2k
ROI
+3.4%
Volume
$243.8k
Markets
316
Position accuracy
57%
PnL chart
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Open positions (7)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+$899
$2.4k value
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
+$424
$1.5k value
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
+$220
$790 value
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$-899
$602 value
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
+$28
$581 value
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
$-52
$99 value
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 20, 2026?
$-1
$0 value
Recent trades (100)
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$494
@ 66¢
20m ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$512
@ 67¢
1h ago
SELL
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
$520
@ 84¢
8h ago
SELL
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
$615
@ 87¢
16h ago
SELL
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
$17
@ 87¢
16h ago
BUY
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
$1.1k
@ 83¢
16h ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
Yes
$90
@ 15¢
1d ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
Yes
$60
@ 15¢
1d ago
SELL
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Yes
$992
@ 69¢
2d ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
Yes
$556
@ 88¢
2d ago
SELL
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?
Yes
$17
@ 59¢
2d ago
BUY
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?
Yes
$20
@ 67¢
2d ago
SELL
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes
$423
@ 90¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Yes
$598
@ 40¢
3d ago
SELL
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes
$5
@ 90¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
Yes
$1.1k
@ 68¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
Yes
$578
@ 64¢
3d ago
BUY
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes
$238
@ 50¢
3d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$1.3k
@ 97¢
4d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$765
@ 58¢
4d ago
SELL
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes
$45
@ 90¢
4d ago
BUY
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes
$35
@ 69¢
4d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$210
@ 97¢
5d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$243
@ 97¢
5d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 97¢
5d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$32
@ 98¢
5d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$201
@ 98¢
5d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$379
@ 53¢
5d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes
$91
@ 75¢
6d ago
SELL
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
Yes
$160
@ 49¢
6d ago
BUY
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
Yes
$175
@ 52¢
6d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
Yes
$34
@ 84¢
7d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
Yes
$32
@ 80¢
7d ago
SELL
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
No
$158
@ 15¢
9d ago
SELL
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
No
$4
@ 40¢
9d ago
SELL
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
No
$3
@ 42¢
9d ago
SELL
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
No
$44
@ 42¢
10d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Yes
$46
@ 10¢
10d ago
SELL
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
No
$30
@ 50¢
10d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
10d ago
SELL
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
Yes
$245
@ 93¢
10d ago
SELL
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
No
$15
@ 41¢
10d ago
SELL
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Yes
$18
@ 36¢
10d ago
BUY
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
No
$792
@ 60¢
10d ago
BUY
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
Yes
$239
@ 90¢
10d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes
$1.2k
@ 72¢
11d ago
BUY
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes
$188
@ 61¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 27¢
12d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 25¢
12d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 20, 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 6¢
12d ago
SELL
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 30¢
12d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?
Yes
$11
@ 13¢
12d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Yes
$56
@ 11¢
12d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes
$277
@ 69¢
15d ago
BUY
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No
$278
@ 68¢
15d ago
BUY
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Yes
$36
@ 93¢
17d ago
BUY
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
No
$26
@ 92¢
17d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Yes
$64
@ 99¢
19d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Yes
$99
@ 100¢
19d ago
SELL
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
No
$18
@ 7¢
20d ago
BUY
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
No
$73
@ 28¢
20d ago
SELL
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Yes
$74
@ 48¢
21d ago
BUY
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Yes
$100
@ 64¢
21d ago
BUY
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?
No
$25
@ 100¢
22d ago
BUY
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Yes
$323
@ 99¢
22d ago
SELL
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$311
@ 63¢
23d ago
BUY
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Yes
$15
@ 30¢
23d ago
BUY
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$305
@ 60¢
23d ago
SELL
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Yes
$81
@ 28¢
23d ago
BUY
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Yes
$100
@ 34¢
23d ago
SELL
Grok 4.4 released by July 10?
Yes
$79
@ 92¢
24d ago
SELL
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?
Yes
$763
@ 97¢
24d ago
BUY
Grok 4.4 released by July 10?
Yes
$51
@ 58¢
24d ago
BUY
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?
Yes
$602
@ 90¢
24d ago
BUY
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?
Yes
$101
@ 83¢
24d ago
SELL
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Yes
$1.8k
@ 98¢
24d ago
SELL
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Yes
$50
@ 99¢
24d ago
SELL
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Yes
$138
@ 99¢
24d ago
SELL
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Yes
$300
@ 99¢
24d ago
SELL
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Yes
$12
@ 99¢
24d ago
SELL
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Yes
$24
@ 99¢
24d ago
BUY
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Yes
$1.0k
@ 85¢
24d ago
BUY
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Yes
$101
@ 80¢
24d ago
SELL
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?
Yes
$17
@ 12¢
24d ago
BUY
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?
Yes
$23
@ 15¢
24d ago
SELL
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Yes
$210
@ 17¢
24d ago
SELL
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Yes
$25
@ 18¢
24d ago
SELL
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Yes
$49
@ 16¢
24d ago
SELL
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Yes
$839
@ 99¢
24d ago
BUY
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Yes
$29
@ 21¢
24d ago
BUY
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Yes
$204
@ 17¢
24d ago
BUY
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Yes
$173
@ 80¢
24d ago
BUY
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Yes
$500
@ 80¢
24d ago
BUY
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Yes
$17
@ 5¢
26d ago
BUY
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Yes
$276
@ 54¢
26d ago
SELL
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Yes
$376
@ 73¢
28d ago
BUY
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Yes
$404
@ 77¢
28d ago
SELL
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Yes
$215
@ 73¢
30d ago
SELL
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
No
$74
@ 26¢
30d ago
BUY
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
No
$102
@ 33¢
30d ago