← Sharp List
Erasmus.
Erasmus.
0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
✓ Verified Human
Sharp Score
41
out of 100
20 open · 1 resolved
Entry Timing
10/25
Contrarian Accuracy
0/25
Repeatability
13/25
Stake Sizing
18/25
Total profit
$186.2k
ROI
+0.1%
Volume
$144.91M
Markets
770
Position accuracy
50%
PnL chart
Loading…
Open positions (20)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · avg 51¢ → 65¢ now
+$56.2k
$275.4k value
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · avg 74¢ → 94¢ now
+$55.0k
$266.6k value
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · avg 90¢ → 97¢ now
+$5.2k
$72.3k value
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · avg 47¢ → 67¢ now
+$16.3k
$55.1k value
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · avg 88¢ → 93¢ now
+$2.3k
$47.1k value
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No · avg 83¢ → 95¢ now
+$3.2k
$25.7k value
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · avg 65¢ → 54¢ now
$-2.0k
$10.9k value
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · avg 88¢ → 93¢ now
+$295
$6.1k value
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · avg 48¢ → 61¢ now
+$616
$3.1k value
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · avg 38¢ → 8¢ now
$-11.1k
$2.8k value
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · avg 93¢ → 76¢ now
$-264
$1.1k value
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No · avg 91¢ → 97¢ now
+$70
$1.1k value
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Yes · avg 37¢ → 28¢ now
$-241
$703 value
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · avg 13¢ → 6¢ now
$-492
$384 value
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes · avg 65¢ → 26¢ now
$-64
$41 value
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · avg 15¢ → 8¢ now
$-1
$1 value
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · avg 73¢ → 85¢ now
+$0
$0 value
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
No · avg 42¢ → 0¢ now
$-4.2k
$0 value
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Yes · avg 27¢ → 0¢ now
$-656
$0 value
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Yes · avg 2¢ → 0¢ now
$-0
$0 value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes
$13.0k
@ 65¢
2d ago
BUY
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$944
@ 37¢
2d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$681
@ 67¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$514
@ 66¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$25.7k
@ 66¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$6.6k
@ 65¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1.9k
@ 64¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$19.5k
@ 64¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$336
@ 65¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$661
@ 65¢
3d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$671
@ 66¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$32.4k
@ 64¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$12.6k
@ 62¢
3d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$9.5k
@ 47¢
10d ago
BUY
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes
$5.8k
@ 88¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No
$45.0k
@ 88¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.9k
@ 48¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$16.4k
@ 48¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$105
@ 47¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$8.2k
@ 48¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1.3k
@ 47¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$1.7k
@ 47¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$627
@ 47¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$2.7k
@ 47¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$3.6k
@ 47¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$1.2k
@ 47¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$2.0k
@ 46¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.7k
@ 46¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$4.7k
@ 46¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$462
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$462
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$466
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$1.2k
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$3.1k
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$3.3k
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$6.0k
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$25.6k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$15.4k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$3.9k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$1.3k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$5.9k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$6.9k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1.0k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$4
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1.2k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$1.2k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$4.3k
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$781
@ 50¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$4.4k
@ 49¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$280
@ 49¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$4.1k
@ 49¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$3.9k
@ 49¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$1.2k
@ 49¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$662
@ 49¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$4.8k
@ 49¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$233
@ 49¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$3.9k
@ 49¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.7k
@ 48¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$2.1k
@ 48¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$492
@ 48¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$120
@ 47¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.3k
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.0k
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$847
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$3.4k
@ 45¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$452
@ 44¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1.7k
@ 42¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$2.6k
@ 42¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1.0k
@ 40¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$279
@ 40¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$474
@ 40¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.0k
@ 40¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$1.3k
@ 40¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.0k
@ 39¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1.0k
@ 39¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$192
@ 39¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$845
@ 39¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$4.0k
@ 39¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$889
@ 38¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$2.0k
@ 38¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$3.9k
@ 37¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$4.3k
@ 42¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$3
@ 38¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$200
@ 38¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$9.5k
@ 38¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$945
@ 65¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$5
@ 64¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.2k
@ 64¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$4.2k
@ 64¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$4.2k
@ 63¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$3.4k
@ 62¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$2.3k
@ 62¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$1.9k
@ 62¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$2.5k
@ 64¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$3.7k
@ 64¢
11d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
$79.8k
@ 88¢
11d ago
BUY
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
$24.4k
@ 10¢
12d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
$22.4k
@ 88¢
12d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
$48.0k
@ 87¢
12d ago
BUY
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes
$22.2k
@ 87¢
12d ago