Hot-Skull
0xd12f443b6a45225ae65d519a4bdef568d29ce85a
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
✓ Verified HumanTotal profit
$26.9k
ROI
+2.7%
Volume
$1.01M
Markets
1,060
Position accuracy
85%
PnL chart
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Open positions (20)
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
+$2.1k
$4.4k value
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
+$33
$1.2k value
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
+$203
$1.0k value
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?
+$46
$707 value
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?
+$4
$604 value
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
+$79
$496 value
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 15, 2026?
+$112
$491 value
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
$-29
$486 value
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
+$9
$477 value
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
$-6
$450 value
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
+$48
$411 value
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
+$2
$314 value
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
+$299
$301 value
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?
+$31
$247 value
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?
$-59
$241 value
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
+$2
$231 value
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?
+$120
$227 value
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
+$40
$169 value
Will Union Centriste hold 53-55 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
+$12
$156 value
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?
+$12
$155 value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
2h ago
BUY
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
2h ago
BUY
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
3h ago
BUY
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
3h ago
BUY
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
4h ago
SELL
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes
$46
@ 15¢
9h ago
BUY
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 0¢
9h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$57
@ 95¢
9h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$189
@ 95¢
9h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$226
@ 95¢
9h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$512
@ 95¢
9h ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$6
@ 1¢
11h ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$20
@ 2¢
11h ago
SELL
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes
$117
@ 40¢
15h ago
SELL
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes
$2
@ 40¢
15h ago
SELL
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes
$98
@ 40¢
15h ago
SELL
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes
$38
@ 40¢
15h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
16h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
16h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
16h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
20h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
20h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
21h ago
BUY
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No
$1
@ 98¢
21h ago
BUY
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No
$1
@ 98¢
23h ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 94¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$21
@ 3¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$150
@ 94¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$216
@ 94¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$160
@ 94¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$216
@ 94¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$2
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$18
@ 2¢
1d ago
SELL
Over $2.5B crypto hack value in 2026?
Yes
$97
@ 90¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$2
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$200
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$2
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$2
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$2
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$2
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$2
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$2
@ 94¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$25
@ 93¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$17
@ 2¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 2¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$155
@ 93¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$36
@ 89¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Union Centriste hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
Yes
$4
@ 32¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$12
@ 86¢
1d ago
BUY
Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
Yes
$32
@ 45¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Union Centriste hold 53-55 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$82
@ 70¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$70
@ 91¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Union Centriste hold 53-55 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$28
@ 71¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Union Centriste hold 53-55 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$35
@ 68¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$15
@ 86¢
1d ago
BUY
Will SER hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$13
@ 65¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?
Yes
$1
@ 16¢
1d ago
BUY
Will SER hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$2
@ 56¢
1d ago
SELL
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?
No
$47
@ 98¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
No
$51
@ 94¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
Yes
$9
@ 31¢
1d ago
BUY
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?
Yes
$600
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No
$68
@ 99¢
1d ago
BUY
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$365
@ 81¢
1d ago