tja
0xe1b361d6a6f237b9ed7534d19b232df8369e1426
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
? Unverified⚑ Win rate 90% on 20 positions
Total profit
$135.8k
ROI
+4.9%
Volume
$2.78M
Markets
1,529
Position accuracy
90%
PnL chart
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Open positions (20)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+$17.0k
$37.0k value
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
+$17.6k
$32.6k value
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
+$478
$4.2k value
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$-17.0k
$3.0k value
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
+$208
$2.0k value
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
+$356
$1.9k value
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
$-78
$1.8k value
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
+$376
$1.7k value
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
+$212
$1.4k value
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
+$56
$1.4k value
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
+$940
$1.2k value
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
+$535
$1.1k value
Iran leadership change by December 31?
+$66
$1.1k value
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
+$113
$1.1k value
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
+$31
$1.0k value
Iran leadership change by November 30?
+$37
$992 value
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
+$572
$988 value
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
+$198
$979 value
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
+$143
$973 value
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
+$21
$803 value
Recent trades (100)
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$63
@ 27¢
5d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 27¢
5d ago
BUY
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?
No
$251
@ 94¢
6d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Yes
$72
@ 12¢
7d ago
SELL
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Yes
$34
@ 10¢
7d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
Yes
$7
@ 34¢
7d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 34¢
7d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Yes
$61
@ 13¢
8d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Yes
$1
@ 13¢
8d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Yes
$0
@ 13¢
8d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Yes
$1
@ 13¢
8d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Yes
$15
@ 13¢
8d ago
BUY
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Yes
$168
@ 14¢
8d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?
No
$111
@ 39¢
8d ago
BUY
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?
No
$6
@ 39¢
8d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
Yes
$1
@ 34¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
Yes
$4
@ 34¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$100
@ 20¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$18
@ 21¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$8
@ 21¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$6
@ 21¢
9d ago
BUY
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$73
@ 21¢
9d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$116
@ 37¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$23
@ 37¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$10
@ 37¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$37
@ 37¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$188
@ 32¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$145
@ 29¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$139
@ 25¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$5
@ 32¢
12d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$371
@ 23¢
12d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$144
@ 24¢
12d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
No
$284
@ 32¢
12d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
No
$5
@ 50¢
12d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
No
$333
@ 50¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$781
@ 50¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$860
@ 62¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$2.0k
@ 63¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$370
@ 72¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$61
@ 72¢
12d ago
SELL
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$49
@ 8¢
12d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$408
@ 83¢
13d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$412
@ 82¢
13d ago
SELL
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
Yes
$182
@ 86¢
13d ago
BUY
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$360
@ 72¢
13d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$761
@ 86¢
13d ago
BUY
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?
No
$688
@ 98¢
13d ago
BUY
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?
No
$286
@ 92¢
13d ago
BUY
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?
No
$335
@ 87¢
13d ago
BUY
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$1
@ 11¢
14d ago
BUY
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$35
@ 14¢
14d ago
BUY
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$14
@ 14¢
14d ago
BUY
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$1
@ 15¢
14d ago
BUY
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$60
@ 15¢
14d ago
BUY
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$74
@ 70¢
15d ago
BUY
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$28
@ 70¢
15d ago
BUY
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$7
@ 89¢
15d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$381
@ 81¢
15d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$324
@ 81¢
15d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$336
@ 86¢
15d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$200
@ 87¢
15d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$61
@ 87¢
15d ago
BUY
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$0
@ 24¢
15d ago
BUY
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$38
@ 24¢
15d ago
SELL
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$31
@ 9¢
15d ago
BUY
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No
$90
@ 65¢
16d ago
BUY
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$57
@ 7¢
16d ago
BUY
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$130
@ 70¢
16d ago
BUY
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$11
@ 7¢
16d ago
BUY
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$21
@ 70¢
16d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$1.0k
@ 90¢
16d ago
BUY
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$92
@ 89¢
16d ago
BUY
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$177
@ 93¢
16d ago
BUY
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$328
@ 86¢
16d ago
BUY
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$34
@ 10¢
16d ago
BUY
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Yes
$0
@ 7¢
16d ago
BUY
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$33
@ 86¢
16d ago
BUY
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
No
$113
@ 94¢
16d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
Yes
$221
@ 96¢
17d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$2.0k
@ 95¢
17d ago
BUY
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
Yes
$268
@ 67¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
Yes
$14
@ 43¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
Yes
$1
@ 43¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
Yes
$38
@ 43¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
Yes
$43
@ 43¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
Yes
$43
@ 43¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
Yes
$43
@ 43¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
Yes
$22
@ 43¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
Yes
$11
@ 43¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?
Yes
$100
@ 20¢
18d ago
BUY
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
Yes
$227
@ 76¢
18d ago
BUY
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
$93
@ 86¢
20d ago
BUY
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No
$41
@ 69¢
23d ago
BUY
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Yes
$85
@ 98¢
23d ago
BUY
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?
Yes
$707
@ 94¢
23d ago
BUY
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Yes
$1.8k
@ 90¢
23d ago
BUY
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No
$3
@ 69¢
24d ago
BUY
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No
$2
@ 69¢
24d ago
BUY
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No
$35
@ 69¢
24d ago
BUY
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No
$3
@ 69¢
24d ago