← Sharp List
SP
SpringlyFawl
0xfbedb045813457be883ad83dd1078e88a2a1a665
✓ on-chain verified · Polygon
⚠ Likely Bot
✕ Avg hold 0.3h (min 2h)
✕ 37% of trades within 10s
⚑ Avg trade $19 (min $25)
Sharp Score
52
out of 100
20 open · 12 resolved
Entry Timing
25/25
Contrarian Accuracy
10/25
Repeatability
5/25
Stake Sizing
12/25
Total profit
$18.0k
ROI
+3.3%
Volume
$539.5k
Markets
5,628
Position accuracy
30%
PnL chart
Loading…
Open positions (20)
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · avg 97¢ → 97¢ now
+$1
$270 value
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · avg 94¢ → 94¢ now
+$0
$105 value
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
No · avg 77¢ → 75¢ now
$-2
$89 value
Will Angola win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group B?
No · avg 85¢ → 71¢ now
$-15
$71 value
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · avg 1¢ → 53¢ now
+$58
$59 value
Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026?
No · avg 86¢ → 68¢ now
$-14
$53 value
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · avg 46¢ → 47¢ now
+$1
$53 value
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
No · avg 62¢ → 60¢ now
$-2
$44 value
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No · avg 19¢ → 17¢ now
$-5
$41 value
Will Greece win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?
No · avg 80¢ → 79¢ now
$-0
$35 value
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song this week?
No · avg 59¢ → 40¢ now
$-14
$32 value
Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?
No · avg 14¢ → 13¢ now
$-3
$27 value
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
No · avg 65¢ → 63¢ now
$-1
$21 value
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?
No · avg 84¢ → 72¢ now
$-3
$19 value
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 29?
No · avg 75¢ → 65¢ now
$-3
$16 value
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?
Yes · avg 11¢ → 30¢ now
+$9
$14 value
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes · avg 20¢ → 27¢ now
+$3
$13 value
Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2
No · avg 51¢ → 41¢ now
$-3
$11 value
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 29?
No · avg 53¢ → 49¢ now
$-1
$10 value
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%?
No · avg 70¢ → 68¢ now
$-0
$10 value
Recent trades (100)
SELL
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
4m ago
SELL
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
4m ago
SELL
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
5m ago
SELL
Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
7m ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on September 29?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
10m ago
BUY
Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?
No
$1
@ 66¢
10m ago
SELL
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be less than 1,500,000?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
12m ago
SELL
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
13m ago
SELL
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
13m ago
SELL
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
13m ago
SELL
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
$27
@ 75¢
27m ago
SELL
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
$8
@ 76¢
27m ago
BUY
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes
$33
@ 24¢
29m ago
BUY
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
$136
@ 76¢
29m ago
SELL
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$4
@ 32¢
31m ago
SELL
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 25 million views in week 1?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
35m ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 29?
Yes
$1
@ 5¢
38m ago
SELL
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No
$37
@ 80¢
38m ago
SELL
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 28?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
39m ago
SELL
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 28?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
39m ago
SELL
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
No
$0
@ 8¢
40m ago
SELL
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
40m ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 29?
Yes
$0
@ 6¢
40m ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 29?
Yes
$1
@ 6¢
40m ago
BUY
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
No
$6
@ 9¢
40m ago
BUY
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
No
$56
@ 95¢
40m ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?
Yes
$4
@ 28¢
41m ago
SELL
Will Jairo Palheta win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
48m ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 29?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
49m ago
SELL
Will Elon tweet 920-959 times in September 2026?
No
$1
@ 69¢
59m ago
SELL
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
1h ago
SELL
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
1h ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 29?
No
$11
@ 53¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 29?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on September 29?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1h ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 29?
No
$11
@ 83¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 29?
Yes
$1
@ 17¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
$108
@ 79¢
1h ago
SELL
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?
Yes
$6
@ 21¢
1h ago
BUY
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No
$111
@ 81¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No
$83
@ 64¢
1h ago
BUY
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No
$106
@ 64¢
1h ago
BUY
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No
$12
@ 35¢
1h ago
BUY
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?
No
$10
@ 51¢
1h ago
SELL
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
No
$5
@ 51¢
1h ago
SELL
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
No
$10
@ 51¢
1h ago
BUY
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
No
$10
@ 50¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
$1
@ 1¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1h ago
SELL
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
1h ago
SELL
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?
No
$1
@ 70¢
1h ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 29?
No
$9
@ 89¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?
No
$2
@ 71¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?
No
$2
@ 71¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?
No
$4
@ 71¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29?
No
$14
@ 71¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?
No
$57
@ 63¢
1h ago
BUY
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
No
$11
@ 52¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on September 29?
Yes
$0
@ 0¢
1h ago
BUY
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
No
$11
@ 53¢
1h ago
BUY
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?
No
$10
@ 50¢
1h ago
BUY
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
No
$11
@ 53¢
1h ago
BUY
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?
No
$19
@ 97¢
1h ago
BUY
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No
$39
@ 84¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?
No
$3
@ 71¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?
No
$14
@ 71¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
No
$0
@ 15¢
1h ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?
No
$17
@ 72¢
1h ago
BUY
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
No
$4
@ 16¢
1h ago
BUY
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes
$17
@ 84¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No
$28
@ 46¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No
$1
@ 46¢
1h ago
BUY
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?
No
$6
@ 72¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 29?
Yes
$0
@ 1¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 28?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 28?
Yes
$0
@ 2¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 29?
No
$5
@ 65¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No
$1
@ 46¢
1h ago
SELL
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
No
$30
@ 62¢
1h ago
SELL
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No
$1
@ 46¢
2h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?
No
$3
@ 57¢
2h ago
SELL
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?
No
$3
@ 58¢
2h ago
BUY
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$4
@ 33¢
2h ago
BUY
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$3
@ 33¢
2h ago
SELL
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No
$120
@ 18¢
2h ago
SELL
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No
$2
@ 17¢
2h ago
BUY
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No
$180
@ 19¢
2h ago
BUY
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Yes
$4
@ 81¢
2h ago
BUY
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
$180
@ 42¢
2h ago
BUY
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No
$250
@ 58¢
2h ago
SELL
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No
$66
@ 68¢
2h ago
BUY
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No
$14
@ 33¢
2h ago